A new market analysis from UK-based nature restoration investor Oxygen Conservation forecasts a sharp rise in the value of premium UK carbon credits, with prices potentially reaching $672 (£500) per tonne by 2050.
Kielder Forest, the UK’s largest planted forest. AI generated picture.
The report, Oxygen Conservation Carbon Curve 2025, frames high-quality, nature-based credits not only as an environmental solution but also as one of the most attractive investment avenues in today’s market. Drawing on insights from more than 30 specialists in finance, law, and natural capital, the report sets out a 10-point plan aimed at positioning the UK voluntary carbon market (VCM) as a world-leading asset class.
At the heart of this vision is the growth of premium carbon credits that go beyond carbon removal to deliver biodiversity gains and community benefits, thereby commanding higher prices. Oxygen Conservation notes that the UK has already seen prices reach $168 per tonne in 2025.
Read more: Social impact takes centre stage in defining high-quality carbon credits
Recent transactions illustrate this momentum. Arup and Nattergal purchased 10,000 credits at $134/tonne, while Burges Salmon acquired 8,000 credits at $168/tonne. According to the report, such deals reinforce the plausibility of the 2050 price projection.
The UK’s clear regulatory framework, robust financial infrastructure, and strong environmental expertise provide the foundation for global leadership in this sector. The report calls on the government to act decisively to secure this position and enable the scaling of nature-based solutions.
‘Tackling climate change is the greatest challenge and greatest opportunity of our time’, said Chris Winter of Oxygen Conservation, adding, ‘the time to invest is now.’ CEO Rich Stockdale echoed this sentiment, noting that ‘markets tend to shift when confidence is backed by solid evidence—something he believes the Carbon Curve provides.’
In addition to its price forecast, the report details the trajectory towards $672/tonne, categorises carbon credit quality tiers, and lays out a policy roadmap designed to cement the UK’s role as a leader in the green finance landscape.
Read more: The social impact of DGB Group’s projects
As UK premium carbon credits gain recognition for delivering both environmental restoration and community value, the market is aligning with what visionary project developers have always known: genuine environmental solutions go hand in hand with social impact. At DGB Group, our nature-based projects embody this approach—combining high-quality carbon removals with enduring benefits for local communities, from empowering livelihoods to protecting biodiversity. With projections pointing to a surge in demand for credits that excel on both fronts, now is the time to align with initiatives that set the standard. Be part of this momentum—your opportunity to shape the market’s future starts today.
